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Event Previous Forecast Actual
Jun, 29 04:30
★★
Retail Sales
Retail Sales
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 04:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.9%
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual: -
Period: May

Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures.

The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year.

0.9% 0.3% -
Jun, 29 08:00
Consumer Confidence
Consumer Confidence
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 08:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 34.1
Forecast: 34.9
Actual: -
Period: Jun

Consumer Confidence is a measure of popular sentiment concerning the Japanese economy. The figure is derived from a survey that asks thousands of Japanese consumers about personal expenditure patterns and inflationary expectations. In general, rising consumer confidence precedes increased consumer spending, which drives both economic growth and inflation. Even though the Japanese economy is heavily driven by its export sector, domestic consumer confidence is an important gauge of overall economic activity and future inflationary pressures.

A headline figure above 50 shows positive consumer sentiment, while a number below 50 shows negative consumer sentiment; the greater the distance, the stronger the sentiment.

34.1 34.9 -
Jun, 29 10:00
CPI
CPI
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 10:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 8.7%
Forecast: 8.5%
Actual: -
Period: Jun

Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items. The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures.

8.7% 8.5% -
Jun, 29 11:00
ZEW-CS Survey (Economic Expectations)
ZEW-CS Survey (Economic Expectations)
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 11:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -52.6
Forecast: -70.7
Actual: -
Period: Jun

The ZEW-CS Indicator is calculated monthly by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in cooperation with Credit Suisse (CS). The indicator reflects the expectations of the surveyed financial market experts regarding the economic development in Switzerland on a six-month time horizon.

-52.6 -70.7 -
Jun, 29 11:00
M3 Money Supply
M3 Money Supply
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 11:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 6.0%
Forecast: 6.1%
Actual: -
Period: May

The broadest measure of money supply in use by Eurozone nations. It includes all currency in circulation, bank deposits, repurchase agreements, debt securities up to 2 years, and the value of money market shares. A larger money supply reduces the purchasing power of the Euro and puts downward pressure on the exchange rate. However, because an increase in M3 leads to price inflation, this figure can also be indicative of the likelihood of future interest rate hikes. The Eurozone M3 is reported in headlines as a percent change from the previous month or as a Three Month Average, which smoothes monthly volatility in the money supply.

6.0% 6.1% -
Jun, 29 11:00
Private Sector Credit
Private Sector Credit
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 11:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 4.5%
Forecast: 4.5%
Actual: -
Period: May

Domestic credit to private sector refers to financial resources provided to the private sector, such as through loans, purchases of nonequity securities, and trade credits and other accounts receivable, that establish a claim for repayment.

4.5% 4.5% -
Jun, 29 12:00
Consumer Confidence
Consumer Confidence
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 12:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -23.6
Forecast: -23.6
Actual: -
Period: Jun

Consumer confidence is a measure of popular sentiment concerning the Eurozone economy. The figure is derived from a survey that asks thousands of consumers about personal expenditure patterns and inflationary expectations. In general, rising consumer confidence precedes increased consumer spending, which drives both economic growth and inflation. Even though t he Italian economy is heavily driven by its export sector, domestic consumer confidence is an important gauge of overall economic activity and future inflationary pressures.

A headline figure above 50 shows positive consumer sentiment, while a number below 50 shows negative consumer sentiment; the greater the distance, the stronger the sentiment.

-23.6 -23.6 -
Jun, 29 13:30
★★
FOMC Member Loretta Mester Speaks
FOMC Member Loretta Mester Speaks
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 13:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
- - -
Jun, 29 15:00
★★
CPI
CPI
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 15:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 0.9%; 7.9%
Forecast: 0.3%; 7.9%
Actual: -
Period: Jun

Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items. The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro in Germany , where each Euro buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most popular way to measure changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical German household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Euros to purchase this same set of basic consumer items.

The German CPI is significant as one of the primary gauges of inflation. As the largest Eurozone economy, inflation in Germany will contribute significantly to inflation in the Eurozone and the behavior of the European Central Bank. High or rising inflation acts as a signal to the ECB to raise interest rates, an action which will result in the strengthening of the Euro. The headline figure for CPI is the percentage change in monthly and annualized percentage term.

0.9%; 7.9% 0.3%; 7.9% -
Jun, 29 15:00
★★
Harmonized CPI
Harmonized CPI
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 15:00
Importance: Medium
Previous: 1.1%; 8.7%
Forecast: 0.2%; 8.8%
Actual: -
Period: Jun

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) reflects changes in the prices of consumer goods and services in a specified period of time. The HICP measures changes of the average price level for goods and services that households consume (the fixed consumer basket). HICP is pure price index. It does not reflect the changes in buying or consumption patterns, brands, and does not reflect the effect of outlet and service provider substitution.

1.1%; 8.7% 0.2%; 8.8% -
Jun, 29 15:30
★★
GDP
GDP
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 15:30
Importance: Medium
Previous: -1.5%
Forecast: -1.4%
Actual: -
Period: 1 quarter

The GDP for the United States is a gauge of the overall output (goods & services) of the US economy on the continental US GDP is the most comprehensive overall measure of economic output and provides key insight into the driving forces of the economy.

GDP Influence On Markets
If the figure increases, then the economy is improving, and thus the dollar tends to strengthen. If the number falls short of expectations or meets the consensus, dollar bearishness may be triggered. This sort of reaction is again tied to interest rates, as traders expect an accelerating economy, consumers will be affected by inflation and consequently interest rates will rise. However, much like the CPI, a negative change in GDP is more difficult to trade; just because the pace of growth has slowed does not mean it has deteriorated. On the other hand, a better than expected number will usually result in the dollar rising as it implicates that a quickly expanding economy will sooner or later require higher interest rates to keep inflation in check. Overall though, the GDP has fallen in significance and its ability to move markets since most of the components of the report are known in advance

Due to the untimeliness of this report and because data on GDP components are available beforehand, the actual GDP figure is usually well anticipated. But given its overall significance GDP has the tendency to move the market upon release, acting to confirm or upset economic expectations. Robust GDP growth signals a heightened level of activity that is generally associated with a healthy economy. However economic expansion also raises concerns about inflationary pressures which may lead to monetary policy tightening.

Gross Domestic Product is calculated in the following way
GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)
where
C = private consumption
I = private investment
G = government expenditure
EX = exports of goods and services
IM = imports of goods and services

The figure is commonly reported in headlines as an annualized percentage, based on quarterly data.

On a technical note: The GDP can be reported in either real or nominal terms, real GDP being adjusted for inflation. GDP actually has three releases, as an Advanced, Preliminary, and Final figure. The Advanced figure is released four weeks following the quarter's end. One month later, the Preliminary GDP is released, followed by the Final GDP measure at the end of the quarter following the reporting quarter. As the most timely measure, the Advanced GDP tends to move markets the most.

-1.5% -1.4% -
Jun, 29 15:30
GDP Price Index
GDP Price Index
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 15:30
Importance: Low
Previous: 8.1%
Forecast: 8.1%
Actual: -
Period: 1 quarter

Measures changes in the prices of goods and services that are included in US GDP. The GDP Price Index is an indicator for inflation calculated by comparing the current GDP to GDP in the reference year. A high or rising GDP Price Index, like other indicators of inflation, puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.

The GDP price index differs from other more popular inflation measures like CPI, in that it includes all products accounted for by GDP and does not include the affects of changes in import prices. Furthermore, the report is only released quarterly and commands little market attention because of it lack of timeliness.

The headline figure is the annualized percentage change.

8.1% 8.1% -
Jun, 29 16:00
★★★
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 16:00
Importance: High
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Fed Chair Feb 2018 - Feb 2022. Fed Governor May 2012 - Jan 2028. The testimony usually comes in 2 parts: first he reads a prepared statement (a text version is made available on the Fed's website at the start), then the committee will hold a question and answer session. Since the questions are not known beforehand they can make for some unscripted moments that lead to heavy market volatility. As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
- - -
Jun, 29 20:05
★★
FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks
FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks
Country:
Date: Jun, 29 20:05
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
James Bullard is the chief executive officer and 12th president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, positions he has held since 2008. He is currently serving a term that began on March 1, 2011. In 2014, he was named the 7th most influential economist in the world.
- - -
Jun, 30 02:50
Industrial Production
Industrial Production
Country:
Date: Jun, 30 02:50
Importance: Low
Previous: -1.5%; -4.9%
Forecast: -0.3%; -5.9%
Actual: -
Period: May

Measures the per volume change in output from mining, quarrying, manufacturing, energy and construction sectors in Japan. Industrial production is significant as a short-term indicator of the strength of Japanese industrial activity. High or rising Industrial Production figures suggest increased production and economic expansion. However, uncontrolled levels of production and consumption can spark inflation.

The report is only a preliminary estimate figure that does not move the markets much. The figure is released in headlines as a monthly percent change.

-1.5%; -4.9% -0.3%; -5.9% -
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